Two things: the real picks made since this platform went live, and a backtest of the same method over past seasons. The live record is what actually matters — watch it build.
Every pick is logged before kickoff and graded when the game ends. This is the real record, and the one that counts — it grows every day.
Picks are being logged before kickoff now; results will fill in here as games finish. 276 pending.
How the exact same method would have done over past seasons (2024-08-01 on), replayed point-in-time with no peeking ahead. 71% hit rate over 21,041 simulated picks. Calculated 2026-08-28.
| confidence | picks | said | actually won | said vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55-65% | 5909 | 60% | 58% | |
| 65-75% | 8515 | 71% | 72% | |
| 75-85% | 5311 | 79% | 79% | |
| 85-90% | 1280 | 87% | 88% |